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🎤 Texto que
debes decir — Slide 1 (Title)
Good
morning everyone.
My name
is Augusto Paolo Bernal Parraga, and today I will present our research titled:
“Explainable
Rule-Based Computational Framework for Early Detection of Presuicidal
Behavioral States.”
This
study proposes an interpretable computational framework designed to support the
early identification of presuicidal behavioral manifestations in adolescent
educational contexts.
The
research was conducted in secondary education institutions in Manabí, Ecuador,
using behavioral observations, psychosocial surveys, interviews, and
institutional records from 200 adolescents.
Unlike
opaque predictive systems, our approach emphasizes explainability,
transparency, and rule-based interpretation through finite behavioral states
and deterministic transitions.
The
framework models behavioral variability, psychosocial vulnerability, and
emotional instability as structured computational states capable of supporting
preventive educational decision-making.
Importantly,
the objective of the framework is not clinical diagnosis, but rather the
support of early preventive intervention processes in educational environments.
🎤 Texto que debes decir — Slide 2
(Background and Related Work)
Adolescent
presuicidal behavior represents an important public health and educational
challenge worldwide.
One of the
main difficulties in educational contexts is that warning signs often emerge
gradually through subtle behavioral changes rather than explicit verbal
expressions.
Indicators
such as emotional instability, school disengagement, irritability, social
withdrawal, and behavioral variability may appear before severe crisis
episodes.
Because of
this, schools become critical environments for early preventive identification
and psychosocial monitoring.
However,
many current preventive practices still rely heavily on subjective observation
and non-standardized interpretation methods.
At the same
time, recent advances in explainable artificial intelligence and educational
decision-support systems have created new possibilities for interpretable
behavioral monitoring.
In sensitive
domains such as adolescent mental health, explainable and rule-based systems
are generally preferred over opaque machine learning approaches because
educators and professionals need to understand how classifications are
generated.
Despite
these advances, most existing computational approaches focus either on clinical
populations or on black-box predictive models that prioritize prediction
accuracy over interpretability.
Therefore,
this study addresses an important research gap by proposing an interpretable
rule-based computational framework based on observable psychoeducational
indicators and behavioral transitions in school environments.
🎤
Texto que debes decir — Slide 3 (Methodology)
This study
followed an exploratory case-control design focused on the computational
representation of presuicidal behavioral manifestations in adolescents.
The research
was conducted in 19 public secondary education institutions in Manabí, Ecuador,
involving a total of 200 adolescents.
To obtain a
broader contextual perspective, information was collected not only from
students, but also from teachers, legal guardians, and institutional records.
The study
combined multiple data collection methods, including participant observation,
psychosocial surveys, structured interviews, and institutional behavioral
reports.
After data
collection, the observed manifestations were organized into psychoeducational
indicators associated with behavioral variability and psychosocial
vulnerability conditions.
The
framework relies on four major dimensions:
school-related
behavioral changes,
emotional and verbal manifestations,
family and social interaction patterns,
and psychosocial vulnerability indicators.
Rather than
treating behavioral manifestations as isolated observations, the framework
categorizes them according to persistence, intensity, and frequency.
This allowed
behavioral variability to be transformed into structured computational input
suitable for rule-based classification and state-transition analysis.
The main
objective was to develop an interpretable computational framework capable of
modeling behavioral states and transitions to support preventive educational
decision-making.
🎤 Texto que debes decir — Slide 4
(Results — Behavioral Variability)
The first
stage of the analysis focused on detecting observable behavioral variability
among adolescents.
The study
involved 200 adolescents from 19 public secondary schools in Manabí, Ecuador.
The results
showed that 46 percent of adolescents exhibited observable behavioral changes
during the monitoring period.
In addition,
30.5 percent presented psychosocial vulnerability indicators associated with
presuicidal behavioral risk.
Among the
most frequent associated factors were emotional instability, psychosocial
school stress, disengagement from academic activities, and social withdrawal.
These
findings suggest that behavioral variability is relatively common in adolescent
educational contexts and may provide valuable early-warning information for
preventive intervention.
The
framework then classified adolescents into four typological behavioral states
represented by the finite-state structure.
These states
combined two dimensions:
emotional
regulation
and observable behavioral variability.
From a
computational perspective, this allowed behavioral manifestations to be
represented as interpretable and structured preventive states suitable for
educational monitoring systems.
Overall, the
findings support the relevance of explainable rule-based approaches for early
preventive identification in educational environments.
🎤 Texto que debes decir — Slide 5
(Proposed Computational Framework)
This slide
presents the proposed explainable rule-based computational framework developed
in this study.
The
framework receives two main categories of input:
psychoeducational
indicators
and behavioral variability indicators.
These
indicators include emotional instability, social withdrawal, school
disengagement, psychosocial stressors, and observable behavioral changes over
time.
The
information is processed through a Rule-Based Transition System, or RBT, which
classifies adolescents into interpretable behavioral states.
One of the
main advantages of the framework is its explainability.
Unlike
black-box predictive systems, the classification process is based on explicit
logical rules and observable conditions that educators and professionals can
understand and interpret.
The
framework is also structured around a finite-state behavioral model composed of
four typological states.
State A
represents calm behavior without observable changes.
State B
corresponds to restless behavior without behavioral changes.
State C
represents calm behavior with behavioral changes.
And State D
corresponds to restless behavior accompanied by behavioral changes and
emotional instability.
Behavioral
variability is modeled through deterministic transitions between these states
according to persistence, intensity, and psychosocial vulnerability conditions.
Overall, the
framework transforms complex behavioral manifestations into structured
computational states capable of supporting preventive educational monitoring
and decision-support processes.
🎤
Texto que debes decir — Slide 6 (Results — Framework Evaluation)
This slide
summarizes the evaluation of the proposed rule-based computational framework.
The results
demonstrated that the framework was capable of consistently classifying
behavioral typological states using interpretable rule-based transitions.
One
important observation is the strong alignment between observed behavioral
conditions and the framework’s computational classifications across the four
behavioral states.
This
indicates that the finite-state representation successfully captured meaningful
behavioral variability patterns in educational contexts.
Another key
contribution of the framework is its interpretability.
Unlike
opaque predictive systems, the classification logic is transparent and
understandable because decisions are generated through explicit behavioral
rules and observable psychoeducational indicators.
The analysis
also showed that emotional and verbal indicators generated the strongest
contribution to behavioral classification, followed by school-related
indicators and family-social conditions.
Psychosocial
vulnerability indicators additionally contributed to identifying higher-risk
behavioral configurations.
From a
preventive perspective, the framework demonstrated practical applicability for
educational monitoring and early intervention support.
The results
suggest that explainable rule-based approaches may provide a feasible
alternative for sensitive educational contexts where transparency, ethical
alignment, and professional supervision are essential.
Overall, the
framework combines interpretability, structured behavioral modeling, and
preventive applicability within a computationally explainable architecture.
🎤 Texto que debes decir — Slide 7
(Framework Application in Schools)
This slide
illustrates how the proposed framework can be applied within real educational
environments.
The process
begins with the collection of information from multiple educational sources.
These
sources include student behavioral data, psychosocial surveys, structured
interviews, teacher observations, and institutional records.
The
collected information is then processed through the Rule-Based Transition
System, or RBT framework.
The
framework analyzes behavioral indicators and psychosocial conditions using
interpretable transition rules between behavioral states.
Instead of
generating opaque predictions, the system classifies adolescents into
understandable preventive behavioral conditions.
This allows
educational professionals to identify behavioral variability, psychosocial
vulnerability, and transitions toward higher-risk states.
Once risk
conditions are identified, the framework supports several preventive
educational actions.
These
include early intervention processes, psychosocial support, continuous
monitoring, and institutional follow-up strategies.
One
important advantage is that the framework is designed to support professional
decision-making rather than replace clinical or educational judgment.
Overall, the
system demonstrates how explainable computational approaches can contribute to
safer educational environments, preventive support systems, and improved
student well-being.
🎤 Texto que debes decir — Slide 8
(Discussion)
The
discussion of the findings highlights the importance of explainability in
sensitive educational contexts related to adolescent behavioral monitoring.
One
important consideration is that presuicidal behavioral manifestations are
highly dynamic, multifactorial, and context-dependent.
Because of
this complexity, educational professionals require systems that are
transparent, interpretable, and ethically aligned with preventive educational
practices.
In this
context, the proposed rule-based framework offers several important advantages.
First, the
behavioral classifications are generated through explicit rules and controlled
transitions rather than opaque predictive mechanisms.
This
improves transparency and allows educators, counselors, and institutional
professionals to understand the logic behind each behavioral state.
Second, the
framework prioritizes preventive educational support instead of deterministic
clinical prediction.
The
objective is not to label students, but rather to identify behavioral
variability patterns that may require additional monitoring, support, or
psychosocial intervention.
Another
important contribution is the integration of computational modeling with
educational practice.
The
framework bridges psychoeducational observation, institutional monitoring, and
explainable computational representation within a unified preventive
architecture.
Finally, the
results suggest that explainable rule-based approaches may represent a more
appropriate alternative for educational environments where ethical
responsibility, human supervision, and contextual interpretation are essential.
🎤 Texto que debes decir — Slide 9
(Limitations and Future Work)
Although the
proposed framework demonstrated promising results, several limitations must be
considered.
First, the
study was conducted within a specific regional context involving 200
adolescents from public secondary schools in Manabí, Ecuador.
Therefore,
broader validation across different educational and cultural contexts is still
necessary.
Another
limitation is that part of the information relied on observational and
psychoeducational reports, which may introduce variability in interpretation
and behavioral assessment.
In addition,
although the rule-based structure improves interpretability, some rare or
highly individualized behavioral manifestations may not be fully represented
within the current transition system.
It is also
important to emphasize that the framework is not intended to function as a
clinical diagnostic system.
Instead, its
role is to support preventive educational monitoring and early intervention
processes under professional supervision.
Regarding
future work, several important directions emerge from this study.
Future
research could incorporate larger and more diverse datasets from multiple
educational regions and institutional contexts.
Additional
psychoeducational indicators, digital behavior patterns, and academic
engagement variables could also strengthen the framework.
Another
promising direction is the integration of explainable artificial intelligence
methods with rule-based architectures to create hybrid interpretable systems.
Finally,
future longitudinal studies and real-world institutional deployments could help
evaluate long-term preventive impact and practical applicability in educational
monitoring systems.
🎤
Texto que debes decir — Slide 10 (Conclusion)
In
conclusion, this study demonstrates that explainable rule-based computational
approaches can provide valuable support for early preventive identification in
adolescent educational contexts.
The proposed
framework successfully transformed psychoeducational indicators and behavioral
variability into interpretable computational states and transitions.
One of the
main contributions of the framework is its transparency.
Because
classifications are generated through explicit rules and observable conditions,
educational professionals can understand and interpret the behavioral logic
behind each state.
The
framework also demonstrated practical applicability for preventive educational
monitoring and early intervention support.
Importantly,
the system was designed to complement professional judgment rather than replace
human decision-making.
Another
important contribution is the integration of computational modeling,
psychoeducational observation, and preventive educational practice within a
unified explainable architecture.
Overall, the
findings suggest that interpretable computational frameworks may represent an
important direction for safer educational environments, earlier preventive
support, and improved adolescent well-being.
Thank you
very much for your attention.
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